Optimism and opportunity abound for South Africa’s property market in 2024

South Africa - Cape Town - 4 November 2019 - Bantry Bay is an affluent suburb of Cape Town situated on the slopes of Lion's Head and overlooking a rocky coastline, Western Cape Province, South Africa. Picture: Armand Hough/IndependentNewspapers)

South Africa - Cape Town - 4 November 2019 - Bantry Bay is an affluent suburb of Cape Town situated on the slopes of Lion's Head and overlooking a rocky coastline, Western Cape Province, South Africa. Picture: Armand Hough/IndependentNewspapers)

Published Aug 22, 2024

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Five months ago, Century 21 South Africa CEO Harry Nicolaides remarked on the early signs of recovery in the South African property market, noting an encouraging uptick in real estate activity.

With the first quarter of 2024 showing a positive shift, Nicolaides anticipated further growth fuelled by an eventual reduction in interest rates.

Nicolaides has observed that the current optimistic market sentiment, despite the absence of interest rate cuts thus far, has bolstered property sales.

He predicts that a cut in interest rates, expected in the latter half of 2024, will likely catalyse an even more robust recovery in the property market.

Additionally, he believes that potential buyers and investors may be holding off on commitments until after the general elections.

With the formation of a Government of National Unity (GNU), Nicolaides sees potential benefits for the property sector. While acknowledging the inherent instability in a coalition government, he considers the GNU's formation a positive step given the political climate and diverse electorate desires.

The hopeful tone from party leaders post-cabinet announcement contributes to a sense of unity, which Nicolaides believes could positively influence the property market, provided tangible outcomes are achieved swiftly.

Economists broadly agree that interest rates will likely decrease due to easing inflation pressures, although the exact timing remains debated.

The peaceful transition to a GNU and its impact on stabilising the Rand are expected to help mitigate inflationary pressures.

Lower interest rates are anticipated to significantly boost property sales activity, creating favourable conditions for market recovery in the near to medium term.

As 2024 progresses, positive developments have emerged, particularly in the past three months. The end of the interest rate hiking cycle, coupled with the smooth electoral process and formation of the GNU, has fostered a more optimistic market environment.

Century 21 reports that their year-on-year performance has remained steady, contrasting with a notable decline in the US property market over the past year.

Growth is observed across various regions in South Africa, not just the Western Cape. Market dynamics vary by province, city, and town, influenced by property type, value, security, and municipal services. The demand is broad-based, reflecting local preferences and needs.

Current buyer trends indicate a preference for secure estates and monitored suburbs, with affordability being a key factor.

Sectional title units, such as flats and townhouses, are particularly popular among new entrants to the market. While analysts often debate the notion of "top" suburbs, Nicolaides emphasises that desirability and market demand are more critical than exclusivity or price growth alone.

The most significant growth is seen in the affordable and entry-level market segments, particularly properties priced up to R1.8 million. This trend is driven by a large segment of the population aspiring to homeownership. Additionally, younger generations, including millennials and Gen Zs, favour smaller, lock-up-and-go units that align with their lifestyle and travel aspirations.

For sellers, Nicolaides advises maintaining a presentable and well-priced property. Ensuring that a property is competitively priced in relation to the market is crucial for a successful sale. Overpricing can lead to frustration and delays.

Buyers are encouraged to engage with area specialists who possess local knowledge and technological tools to provide accurate market insights.

Working with an experienced agent can ensure that buyers make informed decisions and find the best value in their property investments.

Nicolaides remains optimistic about South Africa’s future, highlighting the nation’s beauty and the diverse, peace-loving nature of its people.

He believes that with the GNU’s support, South Africa’s property market can thrive, reflecting the aspirations of its citizens. The call to "Love Where We Live" underscores the importance of valuing and nurturing the country's unique and vibrant environment.

IOL