Malema's conviction for illegal firearm possession stirs internal unrest in the EFF
DEVASTATING VERDICT
Economic Freedom Fighters at crossroads as Malema faces jail sentence after firearms conviction
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Julius Malema, the fiery leader of the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), has been found guilty of illegal possession of a firearm and discharging it in public. The ruling, handed down by the courts, suggests the potential for severe internal discord within the party.
On Wednesday, Presiding Magistrate Twanet Olivier announced a significant verdict. The sentencing, originally expected to occur soon after the verdict, has now been postponed until January 2026.
The charges relate to an incident during the party’s fifth anniversary celebrations in 2018 in the Eastern Cape province.
Malema confronts grave criminal charges that could see him behind bars for a minimum of 15 years. This not only puts Malema’s future at stake but also threatens the very existence of the EFF.
Malema’s former bodyguard, Adriaan Snyman, who was charged alongside him, was acquitted.
Since its founding in 2013, the EFF has been synonymous with Malema’s leadership and fiery rhetoric. Analysts warn the party may face a significant leadership dilemma with his position now in jeopardy.
Historian Khaya Mthethwa reflected on Malema's unique role within the party.
“Over the years, the EFF has been led almost exclusively by Julius Malema, who has been the most visible and capable leader. Nobody has seriously contested his authority,” Mthethwa said.
“It will be interesting and concerning to see how the party copes if its pivotal leader finds himself behind bars.”
Mthethwa added that the EFF’s ability to overcome internal differences could be severely tested if Malema is sentenced to prison.
“The worst-case scenario is Malema being jailed. That would put the EFF in a very compromising position as the party would have to learn to exist without him.”
Independent political analyst Joe Mhlanga echoed similar sentiments but expressed cautious optimism.
“The party may survive, especially since the verdict can be appealed. This situation might even be leveraged as a political strategy ahead of upcoming local government elections,” Mhlanga explained.
“There’s widespread debate around the timing of the court case, but it dates back seven years. Justice can be slow.”
Mhlanga also noted the possible rallying effect Malema’s conviction could have on his supporters.
“Many people have already voiced displeasure at how the case has been handled. The acquittal of Malema’s associate adds an interesting dimension. The case is far from over; there will be many appeals, and Julius Malema is unlikely to give up without a fight.”
For now, despite the uncertainty, the EFF remains intact. Analysts, however, urge the party to prepare for a future where Malema may be absent.
“The party must begin to position itself beyond the leadership of Julius Malema if it wants to maintain its relevance in South African politics,” Mthethwa concluded.
“The next months and years will be crucial for the EFF’s survival and influence.”
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