Lions vs Bulls: What are the odds of a draw in the URC Jukskei derby at Ellis Park?

The last time the Lions and Bulls met in the United Rugby Championship, the men from Pretoria were hot favourites, but that will not be the case in Saturday’s return match at Ellis Park.

It was in late November that the Lions shocked the Bulls 43-33 at Loftus Versfeld to precipitate a horror losing streak for Johan Ackermann’s charges, while the Lions have gone from strength to strength. Francke Horn’s men sit in seventh place on the URC log. They are unaccustomed to being in such a lofty place but deserve their position because of some gritty away performances, including a gutsy defeat of the Sharks in Durban.

The Lions are hardly the finished article, but they are vastly improved in their set pieces — their forwards were excellent in the overseas draws with the Ospreys and Perpignan. Since the last Jukskei derby, the Bulls endured a slump but bottomed out and have won their last two fixtures, courageously beating Edinburgh and Pau overseas.

The Bulls will take serious Springbok firepower to Ellis Park, with Jan-Hendrik Wessels, Johan Grobbelaar, and Wilco Louw spearheading their pack, while Handré Pollard will bring composed direction at the back. Pollard’s duel with the man he replaced at the Bulls, Chris Smit, will be fascinating. The latter has played a significant role in the Lions’ improved performances this season.

This game is shaping up to be a classic. While most are tipping the Bulls, the Lions will be quietly confident. Don’t be surprised if this game ends in a draw.

Lions

15 Quan Horn, 14 Angelo Davids, 13 Henco van Wyk, 12 Bronson Mills, 11 Richard Kriel, 10 Chris Smith, 9 Morne van den Berg, 8 Francke Horn (8), 7 Batho Hlekani, 6 Jarod Cairns, 5 Reinnhard Nothnagel, 4 Ruben Scheoman, 3 Asenathi Ntlabakanye, 2 PJ Botha, 1 SJ Kotze

Bench: 16 Morne Brandon, 17 RF Schoeman, 18 Conraad van Vuuren, 19 Etienne Oosthuizen, 20 Darrien Landsberg, 21 Renzo du Plessis, 22 Haashim Pead, 23 Erich Cronje

Bulls

15 Devon Williams, 14 Stravino Jacobs, 13 Stedman Gans, 12 Harold Vorster, 11 Kurt-Lee Arendse, 10 Handre Pollard, 9 Embrose Papier, 8 Jeandre Rudolph, 7 Elrigh Louw, 6 Marcell Coetzee (captain), 5 Reinhardt Ludwig, 4 Ruan Vermaak, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Johan Grobbelaar, 1 Jan-Hendrik Wessels.

Bench: 16 Marco van Staden, 17 Alu Tshakweni, 18 Mornay Smith, 19 Cobus Wiese, 20 Mpilo Gumede, 21 Nizaam Carr, 22 Keagan Johannes, 23 David Kriel

Kick-off: 2.30pm.

Referee: Morne Ferreira (South Africa)

Assistant referees: Aimee Barrett-Theron (South Africa), Hanru van Rooyen (South Africa)

TMO: Egon Seconds (South Africa)